Prediction Markets: The Collective Knowledge of Market Participants

From the 2008 CFA Institute Annual Conference

In this webcast, Justin Wolfers discusses the following:
  • How simple markets can aggregate and disperse information into efficient forecasts of uncertain future events
  • The track record of market-generated forecasts, and market expectations about probabilities
  • What prediction markets tell us about market efficiency

This webcast comprises a 43-minute presentation and a 16-minute question-and-answer session.

Click here to download unedited MP3 (13.7 MB).

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Speaker

Photo of Justin Wolfers

Justin Wolfers is an assistant professor of business and public policy at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He is also a faculty research fellow at the National Bureau for Economic Research and a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Previously, Professor Wolfers served as an assistant professor at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. He was named a Fulbright Scholar, a fellow at the MacArthur Network on Inequality and Social Interactions, and a doctoral fellow at the Weiner Center for Social Policy. Professor Wolfers is the author of numerous articles that have appeared in academic journals. He received a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of Sydney and an AM and a PhD in economics from Harvard University.

This information was accurate as of the date of the recording.

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Topic

  • Portfolio Management

Details

Length: 59min
Posted: 5/27/2008
Recorded On: 5/13/2008
CE Credits: 1 CE
Formats:
  • Video Webcast
  • Audio Podcast
  • Audio Webcast

Price (USD)

Members: FREE
CFA Program Candidates: $25.00
Standard Rate: $35.00